Happily Ever After: Immigration, Natives’ Marriage, and Fertility

We study the effects of immigration on natives’ marriage, fertility, and family formation across US cities between 1910 and 1930. Using a shift-share design, we find that native men and women living in cities that received more immigrants were more likely to marry, have children, and leave the parental house earlier. Our evi- dence suggests that immigration increased native men’s employment, thereby raising the supply of native “marriageable men”. We consider alternative channels—such as compositional changes in the native population, changes in sex ratios, natives’ cul- tural reactions, and economic competition faced by native women. We conclude that none of them, alone, can explain our results.